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首页> 外文期刊>Ambio: A Journal of the Human Environment >Casual Chain Analysis and Root Causes: The GIWA Approach
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Casual Chain Analysis and Root Causes: The GIWA Approach

机译:休闲链分析和根本原因:GIWA方法

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摘要

The Global International Waters Assessment (GIWA) was created to help develop a priority setting mechanism for actions in international waters. Apart from assessing the severity of environmental problems in ecosystems, the GIWA task is to analyze potential policy actions that could solve or mitigate these problems. Given the complex nature of the problems, understanding their root causes is essential to develop effective solutions.The GIWA provides a framework to analyze these causes, which is based on identifying the factors that shape human behavior in relation to the use (direct or indirect) of aquatic resources. Two sets of factors are analyzed. The first one consists of social coordination mechanisms (institutions). Faults in these mechanisms lead to wasteful use of resources. The second consists of factors that do not cause wasteful use of resources per se (poverty, trade, demographic growth, technology), but expose and magnify the faults of the first group of factors. The picture that comes out is that diagnosing simple generic causes, e.g. poverty or trade, without analyzing the case specific ways in which the root causes act and interact to degrade the environment, will likely ignore important links that may put the effectiveness of the recommended policies at risk. A summary of the causal chain analysis for the Colorado River Delta is provided as an example.
机译:创建全球国际水域评估(GIWA)是为了帮助制定国际水域行动的优先级设定机制。除了评估生态系统中环境问题的严重性之外,GIWA的任务是分析可以解决或缓解这些问题的潜在政策行动。考虑到问题的复杂性,了解问题的根本原因对于开发有效的解决方案至关重要.GIWA提供了一个分析这些原因的框架,该框架基于识别与使用有关的人类行为因素(直接或间接)水生资源。分析了两组因素。第一个由社会协调机制(机构)组成。这些机制的故障导致浪费资源。第二个因素是不会造成资源本身浪费(贫困,贸易,人口增长,技术)的因素,而是暴露和放大了第一类因素的缺点。得出的结果是诊断简单的一般原因,例如贫穷或贸易,如果不分析案例的根本原因起作用并相互作用以破坏环境的具体方式,则可能会忽略可能使建议的政策的有效性面临风险的重要联系。作为示例,提供了科罗拉多河三角洲因果链分析的摘要。

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