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Direct and indirect economic loss assessment of typhoon disasters based on EC and IO joint model

机译:基于EC和IO联合模型的台风灾害直接及间接经济损失评估

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摘要

In recent years, the typhoon disasters frequently occur, by which the economic loss caused is paid more and more attention. Combined with the uncertainty of real economy and the structure of detailed departments' classification, traditional input-output models are extended in this paper. Moreover, static and dynamic models of economy and input-output are, respectively, constructed to evaluate the direct and indirect economic loss caused by typhoon disasters for related industrial departments. It is shown that when referring our proposed static model, the four dominant departments' loss affected by typhoon in 2013 is 1271.9248 billion Yuan in total, accounting for 75.5303% of the total industrial product loss. In the case of the dynamic model, the longer the time of the sector returns to normal production, the bigger the cumulative economic loss caused by typhoon is.
机译:近年来,台风灾害经常出现,造成的经济损失越来越多地关注。 结合实体经济的不确定性以及详细部门的分类结构,在本文中延长了传统的输入输出模型。 此外,经济和投入产出的静态和动态模型分别构建,以评估由相关工业部门的台风灾害引起的直接和间接的经济损失。 结果表明,在推荐静态模型时,2013年受台风影响的四个主导部门的损失总额为1271.924.48亿元,占产业总产量总产量的75.5303%。 在动态模型的情况下,扇区时间越长,正常生产,由台风造成的累积经济损失越大。

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