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Some insights into data weighting in integrated stock assessments

机译:综合股票评估中数据加权的一些见解

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The results of fishery stock assessments based on the integrated analysis paradigm can be sensitive to the values for the factors used to weight each of the data types included in the objective function minimized to obtain the estimates of the parameters of the model. These assessments generally include relative abundance index data, length-composition information and conditional age-at-length data, and algorithms have been developed to select weighting factors for each of these data types. This paper introduces methods for weighting conditional age-at-length data that extend an approach developed by Francis (2011) to weight age- and length-composition data. Simulation based on single-zone and two zone operating models are used to compare five tuning methods that are constructed as combinations of methods to weight each data type. The single-zone operating models allow evaluation of the tuning methods in terms of their ability to provide unbiased estimates of management-related quantities and the correct data weights in the absence of model mis-specification, while the two-zone operating models allow the impacts of model mis-specification on the performance of tuning methods to be explored. The results of assessments are sensitive to data weighting, but the choice of method for data weighting is most consequential when there is model mis-specification. Overall, the results indicate that arithmetic averaging,of effective sampling sample sizes from the McAllister and lanelli (1997) approach is inferior to other methods, and the new method for computing effective sample sizes for conditional age-at-length data seems most appropriate. Crown Copyright (C) 2015 Published by Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.
机译:基于综合分析范式的渔业股票评估结果可以对用于重量目标中包括的每个数据类型的因素的值敏感,从而最小化以获得模型参数的估计值。这些评估通常包括相对丰富的索引数据,长度组合信息和条件年龄 - 长度数据,并且已经开发了算法来为每个数据类型选择加权因子。本文介绍了加权条件年龄次数数据的方法,该数据扩展了由Francis(2011)开发的方法来重量年龄和长度组成数据。基于单区域和两个区域操作模型的仿真用于比较五种调谐方法,该方法被构造为重量每个数据类型的方法的组合。单区域操作模型允许评估调整方法,以便在没有模型错误规范的情况下提供无偏见的管理相关数量和正确的数据权重的能力,而双区域操作模型允许影响探索调整方法绩效的模型误解。评估结果对数据加权敏感,但是当有模型错误规范时,数据加权方法的选择是最重要的。总的来说,结果表明,从Mcallister和Lanelli(1997)方法的有效采样样本尺寸的算术平均差不多,用于计算有效样本大小的新方法,用于条件年龄 - 长度数据似乎最合适。 Crown版权所有(c)2015由elestvier b.v出版。保留所有权利。

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