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Modelling interactions between farmer practices and fattening pig performances with an individual-based model

机译:用基于个别的模型建模农民实践与育肥性能的互动

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摘要

European pig production continues to encounter economic and environmental challenges. To address these issues, methods have been developed to assess performances of pig production systems. Recent studies indicate that considering variability in performances among pigs improves the accuracy and reliability of results compared with modelling an average animal. Our objective was to develop a pig fattening unit model able to (i) simulate individual pig performances, including their variability in interaction with farmers' practices and management, and (ii) assess their effects on technical, economic and environmental performances. Farmer practices included in the model were chosen from a typology generated from on-farm surveys focused on batch management, pig allocation to pens, pig feeding practices, practices of shipping to the slaughterhouse, and management of the remaining pigs. Pigs are represented using an individual-based model adapted from the InraPorc (R) model. To illustrate the model's abilities, four scenarios were simulated that combine two feed rationing plans (ad libitum, restricted to 2.5 kg/day) and two feed sequence plans (two-phase, 10-phase). Analysis of variance was performed on the simulated technical, economic and environmental indicators (calculated via Life Cycle Assessment). The feed rationing plan and feed sequence plan significantly affected all indicators except for the premium per pig, for which the feed sequence plan did not have a significant effect. The restricted 10-phase' scenario maximised gross margin of the fattening unit (14.2 (sic)/pig) and minimised environmental impacts per kg of pig produced. In contrast, the 'ad libitum two-phase' scenario generated the lowest margin (8.20 (sic)/pig) and the highest environmental impacts. The model appears to be a promising tool to assess effects of farmers' practices, pig characteristics and farm infrastructure on technical, economic and environmental performances of the fattening unit, and to investigate the potential of improvement. However, further work is needed, based on virtual experiments, in order to evaluate the effects of a larger diversity of practices.
机译:欧洲猪生产继续遇到经济和环境挑战。为了解决这些问题,已经制定了方法来评估猪生产系统的表现。最近的研究表明,考虑与普通动物建模相比,考虑猪的性能的可变性提高了结果的准确性和可靠性。我们的目的是开发一种能够(i)模拟单独猪表演的猪育化单元模型,包括与农民实践和管理的互动的可变性,(ii)评估其对技术,经济和环境表现的影响。该模型中包含的农民实践选自来自​​农场调查的类型学,专注于批量管理,猪分配给钢笔,猪饲养实践,运送屠宰场的实践,以及剩余猪的管理。使用从Inraporc(R)模型的基于基于个体的模型表示猪。为了说明模型的能力,模拟了四种方案,将两个饲料配给计划(可怕,限制在2.5千克/天)和两个饲料序列计划(两相,10相)中。对模拟技术,经济和环境指标进行方差分析(通过生命周期评估计算)。饲料配给计划和饲料序列计划显着影响除每头猪的溢价外的所有指标,饲料序列计划没有显着效果。受限制的10相“情景最大化育肥单元的毛缘(14.2(SiC)/猪),并最小化每千克猪产生的环境影响。相比之下,'AD Libitum两阶段'情景产生最低余量(8.20(SIC)/猪)和最高的环境影响。该模型似乎是评估农民实践,猪特性和农业基础设施对育肥单位的技术,经济和环境表演的影响的有前途的工具,并调查改进潜力。然而,基于虚拟实验需要进一步的工作,以评估更大多样化的实践的影响。

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