KBS and macro-level systems: support of energy demand forecasting

摘要

Applications of expert systems have been flourishing in the field of strategic planning. For the energysector, a number of expert systems have been developed for carrying out various tasks such as systemdesign, diagnosis and trouble shooting, demand forecast and planning. A review of existing expertsystems in the energy sector in general and in energy planning in particular, shows that they havemostly concentrated on the most pressing problems involving load forecast, investment planning,transmission and distribution network design, operation control, etc., in the power sector, while veryfew have been implemented for supporting energy planning processes. This paper presents an expertsystem developed for supporting the evaluation of selected variables of the MEDEE-S, a powerfulenergy demand forecast model. The system was developed using the vp-Expert knowledge-basedshell.