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Discontinuities in indirect estimation: An application to EAR models

机译:间接估计中的不连续性:EAR模型的应用

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摘要

Among the simulation-based methods, indirect estimation techniques like Indirect Inference (INDINF) and Efficient Method of Moments (EMM) provide a simple solution to many computational problems associated with intractable Likelihood functions. Optimisation of the objective function can be critical in presence of not continuous response variables like, for instance, binary choice or discrete choice models, limited dependent variables, switching regime models. In particular, gradient-based optimisation algorithms can face difficulties when the not continuous response involves discontinuities in the objective function. A simple computational tool is suggested to “empirically” solve the problem. The case study is EMM applied to the autoregressive model with exponential marginal distribution (EAR). The proposed solution is also compared with the performance of the Conditional Least Squares estimation, suitable for this autoregressive model, by a set of Monte Carlo experiments.
机译:在基于仿真的方法中,诸如间接推理(INDINF)和有效矩量方法(EMM)之类的间接估计技术为与难解似然函数相关的许多计算问题提供了简单的解决方案。在没有连续响应变量(例如二元选择或离散选择模型,有限因变量,切换状态模型)的情况下,目标函数的优化可能至关重要。特别是,当不连续响应涉及目标函数的不连续性时,基于梯度的优化算法可能会遇到困难。建议使用简单的计算工具“凭经验”解决问题。案例研究是将EMM应用于具有指数边际分布(EAR)的自回归模型。通过一组蒙特卡洛实验,还将提出的解决方案与适用于该自回归模型的条件最小二乘估计的性能进行了比较。

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