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Bayesian inference for the multivariate skew-normal model: A population Monte Carlo approach

机译:多元偏态正态模型的贝叶斯推断:总体蒙特卡洛方法

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摘要

Frequentist and likelihood methods of inference based on the multivariate skew-normal model encounter several technical difficulties with this model. In spite of the popularity of this class of densities, there are no broadly satisfactory solutions for estimation and testing problems. A general population Monte Carlo algorithm is proposed which: (1) exploits the latent structure stochastic representation of skew-normal random variables to provide a full Bayesian analysis of the model; and (2) accounts for the presence of constraints in the parameter space. The proposed approach can be defined as weakly informative, since the prior distribution approximates the actual reference prior for the shape parameter vector. Results are compared with the existing classical solutions and the practical implementation of the algorithm is illustrated via a simulation study and a real data example. A generalization to the matrix variate regression model with skew-normal error is also presented.
机译:基于多元偏态正态模型的频率推断方法和似然方法在此模型上遇到一些技术难题。尽管这类密度很受欢迎,但是对于估计和测试问题,没有广泛令人满意的解决方案。提出了一种通用的蒙特卡洛算法:(1)利用偏态正态随机变量的潜在结构随机表示来提供模型的完整贝叶斯分析; (2)考虑参数空间中约束的存在。可以将所提出的方法定义为信息量较弱,因为先验分布近似于形状参数矢量的实际参考先验。将结果与现有经典解决方案进行比较,并通过仿真研究和实际数据示例说明了该算法的实际实现。还提出了具有偏正态误差的矩阵变量回归模型的推广。

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