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Estimation of realized stochastic volatility models using Hamiltonian Monte Carlo-Based methods

机译:基于哈密顿量的基于蒙特卡洛的方法估计已实现的随机波动率模型

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摘要

This study develops and compares performance of Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (HMC) and Riemann manifold Hamiltonian Monte Carlo (RMHMC) samplers with that of multi-move Metropolis-Hastings sampler to estimate stochastic volatility (SV) and realized SV models with asymmetry effect. In terms of inefficiency factor, empirical results show that the RMHMC sampler give the best performance for estimating parameters, followed by multi-move Metropolis-Hastings sampler. In particular, it is also shown that RMHMC sampler offers a greater advantage in the mixing property of latent volatility chains and in the computational time than HMC sampler.
机译:本研究开发并比较了汉密尔顿蒙特卡洛(HMC)和黎曼流形汉密尔顿蒙特卡洛(RMHMC)采样器与多移动Metropolis-Hastings采样器的性能,以估计随机波动率(SV)并实现了具有非对称效应的SV模型。就低效率因素而言,经验结果表明,RMHMC采样器在估计参数方面表现出最佳性能,其次是Metro-Hastings多采样器。特别是,与HMC采样器相比,RMHMC采样器在潜在挥发性链的混合特性和计算时间方面具有更大的优势。

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