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Abrupt Climate Changes: Past, Present and Future

机译:突然的气候变化:过去,现在和未来

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The Earth's tropical regions are very important for understanding current and past climate change as 50% of the Earth's surface lies between 30°N and 30°S, and it is these regions where most of the sun's energy that drives the climate system is absorbed. The tropics and subtropics are also the most populated regions on the planet. Paleoclimate records reveal that in the past, natural disruptions of the climate system driven by such processes as large explosive volcanic eruptions1 and variations in the El Nino-Southern Oscillation2 have affected the climate over much of the planet.3 Changes in the vertical temperature profile in the tropics also affect the climate on large-spatial scales. While land surface temperatures and sea surface temperatures show great spatial variability, tropical temperatures are quite uniform at mid-tropospheric elevations where most glaciers and ice caps exist. Observational data before, during and after a major El Nino event demonstrate that within four months of its onset, the energy from the sea surface is distributed throughout the tropical mid-troposphere.4 Thus, the observation that virtually all tropical regions are retreating5 under the current climate regime strongly indicates that a large-scale warming of the Earth system is currently underway.
机译:地球的热带地区对于了解当前和过去的气候变化非常重要,因为地球表面的50%位于30°N至30°S之间,正是这些区域吸收了驱动气候系统的大部分太阳能量。热带和亚热带也是地球上人口最多的地区。古气候记录表明,过去,由大爆炸性火山喷发1和厄尔尼诺-南方涛动2的变化等过程驱动的气候系统的自然破坏已经影响了整个地球的气候。3热带地区也在大范围影响气候。尽管陆地表面温度和海表温度显示出很大的空间变异性,但在对流层中部海拔高度(那里有大多数冰川和冰盖)的热带温度相当均匀。厄尔尼诺事件发生之前,之中和之后的观测数据表明,在发生厄尔尼诺现象的四个月内,来自海面的能量就分布在整个对流层中部。4因此,观察到几乎所有热带地区都在该对流层下退缩。当前的气候制度有力地表明地球系统正在大规模升温。

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