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Computing and Partitioning Cloud Feedbacks Using Cloud Property Histograms. Part I: Cloud Radiative Kernels

机译:使用云属性直方图计算和划分云反馈。第一部分:云辐射内核

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This study proposes a novel technique for computing cloud feedbacks using histograms of cloud fraction as a joint function of cloud-top pressure (CTP) and optical depth (tau). These histograms were generated by the International Satellite Cloud Climatology Project (ISCCP) simulator that was incorporated into doubled-CO2 simulations from 11 global climate models in the Cloud Feedback Model Intercomparison Project. The authors use a radiative transfer model to compute top of atmosphere flux sensitivities to cloud fraction perturbations in each bin of the histogram for each month and latitude. Multiplying these cloud radiative kernels with histograms of modeled cloud fraction changes at each grid point per unit of global warming produces an estimate of cloud feedback. Spatial structures and globally integrated cloud feedbacks computed in this manner agree remarkably well with the adjusted change in cloud radiative forcing. The global and annual mean model-simulated cloud feedback is dominated by contributions from medium thickness (3.6 < tau <= 23) cloud changes, but thick (tau > 23) cloud changes cause the rapid transition of cloud feedback values from positive in midlatitudes to negative poleward of 50 degrees S and 70 degrees N. High (CTP <= 440 hPa) cloud changes are the dominant contributor to longwave (LW) cloud feedback, but because their LW and shortwave (SW) impacts are in opposition, they contribute less to the net cloud feedback than do the positive contributions from low (CTP > 680 hPa) cloud changes. Midlevel (440 < CTP <= 680 hPa) cloud changes cause positive SW cloud feedbacks that are 80% as large as those due to low clouds. Finally, high cloud changes induce wider ranges of LW and SW cloud feedbacks across models than do low clouds.
机译:这项研究提出了一种新技术,该技术使用云分数的直方图作为云顶压力(CTP)和光学深度(tau)的联合函数来计算云反馈。这些直方图是由国际卫星云气候项目(ISCCP)模拟器生成的,该模拟器已在“云反馈模型比对项目”中纳入11种全球气候模型的CO2倍增模拟中。作者使用辐射转移模型来计算大气通量对每个月和纬度在直方图的每个bin中的云成分扰动的最高敏感性。将这些云辐射内核与每单位全球变暖的每个网格点处的模拟云分数变化的直方图相乘,即可得出云反馈的估计值。以这种方式计算的空间结构和全球整合的云反馈与云辐射强迫的调整变化非常吻合。全球和年度平均模型模拟的云反馈主要受中等厚度(3.6 23)的云变化导致云反馈值从中纬度的正值迅速转变为中纬度负极向是南纬50度和北纬70度。高(CTP <= 440 hPa)云变化是长波(LW)云反馈的主要贡献因素,但是由于它们的LW和短波(SW)影响相反,因此影响较小较低的云(CTP> 680 hPa)云变化带来的积极贡献,对净云反馈的贡献更大。中级(440

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