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Anthropic reasoning and typicality in multiverse cosmology and string theory

机译:多宇宙论和弦论中的人类推理和典型性

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摘要

Anthropic arguments in multiverse cosmology and string theory rely on the weak anthropic principle (WAP). We show that the principle is fundamentally ambiguous. It can be formulated in one of two ways, which we refer to as WAP(1) and WAP(2). We show that WAP(2), the version most commonly used in anthropic reasoning, makes no physical predictions unless supplemented by a further assumption of 'typicality', and we argue that this assumption is both misguided and unjustified. WAP(1), however, requires no such supplementation; it directly implies that any theory that assigns a non-zero probability to our universe predicts that we will observe our universe with probability one. We argue, therefore, that WAP(1) is preferable, and note that it has the benefit of avoiding the inductive overreach characteristic of much anthropic reasoning.
机译:多宇宙学和弦论中的人类论证依赖于弱人类学原理(WAP)。我们证明该原则从根本上是模棱两可的。它可以用以下两种方式之一来表示,我们称为WAP(1)和WAP(2)。我们证明,WAP(2)是人类推理中最常用的版本,除非进行进一步的“典型性”假设补充,否则不会进行任何物理预测,并且我们认为该假设既有误导性,也没有道理。 WAP(1),但是,不需要这种补充;它直接暗示着,任何给我们的宇宙分配非零概率的理论都预测我们将以一个概率观察我们的宇宙。因此,我们认为WAP(1)是更可取的,并注意到它具有避免许多人类推理的归纳性超范围特性的好处。

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