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首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences >Defining high-flow seasons using temporal streamflow patterns from a global model
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Defining high-flow seasons using temporal streamflow patterns from a global model

机译:使用全局模型中的时间流模式定义高流量季节

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Globally, flood catastrophes lead all natural hazards in terms of impacts on society, causing billions of dollars of damages annually. Here, a novel approach to defining high-flow seasons (3-month) globally is presented by identifying temporal patterns of streamflow. The main high-flow season is identified using a volume-based threshold technique and the PCR-GLOBWB model. In comparison with observations, 40% (50 %) of locations at a station (subbasin) scale have identical peak months and 81% (89 %) are within 1 month, indicating fair agreement between modeled and observed high-flow seasons. Minor high-flow seasons are also defined for bi-modal flow regimes. Identified major and minor high-flow seasons together are found to well represent actual flood records from the Dartmouth Flood Observatory, further substantiating the model's ability to reproduce the appropriate high-flow season. These high-spatial-resolution high-flow seasons and associated performance metrics allow for an improved understanding of temporal characterization of streamflow and flood potential, causation, and management. This is especially attractive for regions with limited observations and/or little capacity to develop early warning flood systems.
机译:在全球范围内,洪水灾害对社会造成了所有自然灾害,每年造成数十亿美元的损失。在此,通过识别水流的时间模式,提出了一种全球定义高流量季节(3个月)的新颖方法。使用基于体积的阈值技术和PCR-GLOBWB模型确定主要的高流量季节。与观测值相比,一个站点(子盆地)规模的位置中有40%(50%)的高峰月份相同,而在1个月内有81%(89%)的高峰月份,这表明模拟和观测的高流量季节之间存在合理的一致性。还针对双峰流模式定义了小高流量季节。达特茅斯洪水天文台确定的主要和次要高流量季节可以很好地代表实际的洪水记录,从而进一步证实了该模型再现合适的高流量季节的能力。这些高空间分辨率的高流量季节和相关的性能指标可帮助您更好地了解水流和洪水潜力的时间特征,因果关系和管理。这对于观测值有限和/或没有能力开发预警洪水系统的地区尤其有吸引力。

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