Evaluation on the Coordinated Development of China's Fictitious and Real Economy

摘要

The coordinated development of China's fictitious economy and real economy has been evaluated in this paper by grey correlative coupling model based on the annual data from 2002 to 2011. Results show that "the turnover of treasury bonds", "the turnover of futures", "premium income" are the first three intimidated factors of the fictitious economy to the real economy, and the promotion of the development of transportation industry and the wholesale and retail industry should be helpful to improve the coordination state of them. The coordination degree during 2002-2011 in China between the two systems shows significant fluctuations from 0. 5320 to 0. 7519, and the coordination state is relatively lower from 2007 to 2011 than it was in 2002-2006. Considering a coordinated development of fictitious economy and real economy would be beneficial to raise the quality of economic development, more attentions should be paid to grasp coordination mechanisms of the two systems correctly to promote sound and rapid development of China's economy.