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A Statistical Analysis of X1- and X2- or Higher-Class Flares during Solar Cycles 21~23

机译:太阳周期21〜23期间X1-和X2-或更高级耀斑的统计分析

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摘要

The X1- and X2- or higher class flares in solar cycles 21, 22, and 23 from 1986 to 2008 have been analyzed statistically in this paper. It is found in the statistical study that the number of the X1-class flares accounted for 52.71% of total X- and higher class flares, while, the number of the X2- and higher class flares accounted for 47.29% of total X- and higher class flares. No matter whether the X1- and X2- or higher class flares, most of them occured in the descending phases of the solar cycles. Moreover, the weaker the intensity of the solar cycle, the higher the ratio of the flares occurred in the descending phase of the solar cycle, and the stronger the intensity of solar flares, the higher the ratio of the flares occurred in the descending phases of the solar cycles. In addition, the phase difference between the peak of the smoothed monthly mean number of sunspots and that of the X-class flares has been calculated, which shows that the smoothed monthly mean number of the X1-class flares had a very noticeable time advance of 1 month with respect to that of sunspots in the cycles 21 and 22, but there was a time lag of 13 months in the cycle 23, while, for the X2- and higher class flares, there was a time lag of 9 months in the cycle 21, but a one-month time advance existed in the cycle 22, and again a time lag of 32 months appeared in the cycle 23.
机译:本文对1986年至2008年太阳周期21、22和23的X1-和X2-或更高级别的耀斑进行了统计分析。在统计研究中发现,X1级耀斑的数量占X级和更高级别耀斑总数的52.71%,而X2级及更高级别的耀斑的数量占X级和更高级别耀斑的47.29%。更高等级的耀斑。无论是X1和X2或更高级的耀斑,大多数都发生在太阳周期的下降阶段。此外,太阳周期的强度越弱,在太阳周期的下降阶段发生的耀斑的比率越高,太阳耀斑的强度越强,在太阳周期的下降阶段发生的耀斑的比率越高。太阳周期。此外,计算出了平滑的黑子月平均数峰值与X级耀斑的峰值之间的相位差,这表明X1级的耀斑的平滑后月平均数具有非常明显的时间提前量。相对于第21和22周期的黑子,为1个月,但第23周期的时间为13个月,而对于X2和更高级别的耀斑,则为9个月。周期21,但是在周期22中存在一个月的时间提前,在周期23中又出现了32个月的时滞。

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