Analysis of land-use scenarios for urban sustainable development: a case study of Lijiang City

摘要

A scientific approach to urban planning is required to ensure environmental protection and ecological sustainability. Thispaper presents a range of urban land-use scenarios and their implications for urban development and economic demandin the Old Town of Lijiang. Using geographic information system (GIS) and questionnaire analysis, three future urbanplanning scenarios were created based on data and storylines for the Lijiang region. In all scenarios, urban growth arises frompopulation increase due to tourism and economic change. However, the spatial patterns differ due to varying assumptionsabout urban development processes or purposes. The modelling results are successfully illustrated in the scope of possibleland-use scenarios for the future and provide useful input for starting discussions on future urban development planning.