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A statistical analysis of product prices in online markets

机译:在线市场产品价格的统计分析

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摘要

We empirically investigate fluctuations in product prices in online markets by using a tick-by-tick price data collected from a Japanese price comparison site, and find some similarities and differences between product and asset prices. The average price of a product across e-retailers behaves almost like a random walk, although the probability of price increase/decrease is higher conditional on the multiple events of price increase/decrease. This is quite similar to the property reported by previous studies about asset prices. However, we fail to find a long memory property in the volatility of product price changes. Also, we find that the price change distribution for product prices is close to an exponential distribution, rather than a power law distribution. These two findings are in a sharp contrast with the previous results regarding asset prices. We propose an interpretation that these differences may stem from the absence of speculative activities in product markets; namely, e-retailers seldom repeat buy and sell of a product, unlike traders in asset markets.
机译:我们使用从日本价格比较网站收集的逐笔价格数据,对在线市场中产品价格的波动进行实证研究,并发现产品和资产价格之间存在一些异同。尽管在价格上涨/下跌的多个事件中,价格上涨/下跌的可能性较高,但各个电子零售商的产品平均价格行为几乎像是随机游走。这与先前有关资产价格的研究报告的财产非常相似。但是,我们未能在产品价格变化的波动中找到长期记忆的属性。同样,我们发现产品价格的价格变化分布接近于指数分布,而不是幂律分布。这两个发现与先前有关资产价格的结果形成鲜明对比。我们提出一种解释,认为这些差异可能源于产品市场中缺乏投机活动;也就是说,与资产市场中的交易者不同,电子零售商很少重复购买和出售产品。

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