首页> 外文期刊>The European physical journal, B. Condensed matter physics >On the connection between financial processes with stochastic volatility and nonextensive statistical mechanics
【24h】

On the connection between financial processes with stochastic volatility and nonextensive statistical mechanics

机译:关于具有随机波动性的财务流程与非广义统计机制之间的联系

获取原文
获取原文并翻译 | 示例
           

摘要

The GARCH algorithm is the most renowned generalisation of Engle's original proposal for modelising returns, the ARCH process. Both cases are characterised by presenting a time dependent and correlated variance or volatility. Besides a memory parameter, b, (present in ARCH) and an independent and identically distributed noise, omega, GARCH involves another parameter, c, such that, for c=0, the standard ARCH process is reproduced. In this manuscript we use a generalised noise following a distribution characterised by an index q(n), such that q(n)=1 recovers the Gaussian distribution. Matching low statistical moments of GARCH distribution for returns with a q-Gaussian distribution obtained through maximising the entropy S-q = 1-Sigma(i) p(i)(q) / q-1 basis of nonextensive statistical mechanics, we obtain a sole analytical connection between q and {b, c, q(n)} which turns out to be remarkably good when compared with computational simulations. With this result we also derive an analytical approximation for the stationary distribution for the (squared) volatility. Using a generalised Kullback-Leibler relative entropy form based on S-q, we also analyse the degree of dependence between successive returns, z(t) and z(t+1), of GARCH(1,1) processes. This degree of dependence is quantified by an entropic index, q(op). Our analysis points the existence of a unique relation between the three entropic indexes q(op), q and q(n) of the problem, independent of the value of (b,c).
机译:GARCH算法是Engle最初提出的对收益建模(ARCH过程)进行建模的最著名概括。两种情况的特征都是呈现时间相关和相关的方差或波动性。除了存储器参数b(存在于ARCH中)和独立且分布均匀的噪声omega之外,GARCH还涉及另一个参数c,从而对于c = 0而言,将再现标准ARCH过程。在此手稿中,我们使用遵循以索引q(n)为特征的分布的广义噪声,以使q(n)= 1恢复高斯分布。通过最大化非广义统计力学的熵Sq = 1-Sigma(i)p(i)(q)/ q-1所获得的q-高斯分布,将回报的GARCH分布的低统计矩与q-高斯分布进行匹配,我们获得了唯一的分析方法q与{b,c,q(n)}之间的联系与计算仿真相比非常好。利用此结果,我们还可以得出(平方)波动率的平稳分布的解析近似值。使用基于S-q的广义Kullback-Leibler相对熵形式,我们还分析了GARCH(1,1)过程的连续收益z(t)和z(t + 1)之间的依赖程度。这种依赖程度由熵指数q(op)量化。我们的分析指出了问题的三个熵指标q(op),q和q(n)之间存在唯一关系,而与(b,c)的值无关。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号