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Detecting influential data points for the Hill estimator in Pareto-type distributions

机译:在帕累托型分布中检测Hill估计量的影响数据点

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摘要

Purpose: To propose methods for the detection of highly influential data points for the Hill estimator in Pareto-type distributions. Summary: It is discussed about the Pareto-type distributions (or heavy tailed distributions) that are extreme value distributions for which the extreme value index is the lone parameter. It is argued that the classical estimators like the Hill estimator tend to overestimate this parameter in the presence of outliers. In this regard, the empirical influence function plot, which displays the influence that each data point has on the Hill estimator, is introduced. In fact, the empirical influence function is based on a new robust CLM estimator of the parameter of interest. In this regard, the Hill estimator is reviewed and its influence function and empirical influence function are derived. The robust GLM estimator and other aspects for parameter are studied in detail. Using the robust CLM estimator the high quantiles for the data generating distribution in a robust way are derived and are combined with the empirical influence function on a diagnostic plot to visualize which data points are unusually large and are highly influential for the Hill estimator. The performance of the robust GLM estimator is illustrated using a simulation study. In order to illustrate the proposed method a real data set is used. (37 refs.)
机译:目的:提出检测帕累托型分布中希尔估计的有影响力的数据点的方法。摘要:讨论了帕累托型分布(或重尾分布),这些分布是极值分布,其极值索引是唯一参数。有人认为,在存在离群值的情况下,像希尔估计器之类的经典估计器往往会高估该参数。在这方面,引入了经验影响函数图,该函数显示了每个数据点对希尔估计量的影响。实际上,经验影响函数基于感兴趣参数的新的鲁棒CLM估计器。在这方面,对希尔估计量进行了回顾,得出了其影响函数和经验影响函数。对鲁棒GLM估计器和参数的其他方面进行了详细研究。使用健壮的CLM估计器,可以以健壮的方式导出用于数据生成分布的高分位数,并将其与诊断图上的经验影响函数结合起来,以可视化哪些数据点异常大并且对Hill估计器有很大影响。使用仿真研究说明了鲁棒GLM估计器的性能。为了说明所提出的方法,使用了真实数据集。 (37参考)

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