首页> 外文期刊>Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O. Journal of Risk and Reliability >Single-objective deterministic versus multi-objective stochastic water network design: practical considerations for the water industry
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Single-objective deterministic versus multi-objective stochastic water network design: practical considerations for the water industry

机译:单目标确定性与多目标随机水网络设计:水工业的实际考虑

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摘要

The strategy in single-objective deterministic water network design is to size and locate components to minimize capital cost and meet future peak demands at or above a minimum pressure. Increasingly, practitioners are turning to multi-objective stochastic design to balance the minimum-cost objective with hydraulic performance objectives. The aim of the current paper is to review single-objective deterministic and multi-objective stochastic network design and discuss practical considerations concerning their advantages and disadvantages of relevance to water industry professionals and practitioners. Key differences in data and computational requirements, comprehensiveness of analysis, and decision flexibility between the two approaches are illustrated with a complex, hypothetical network example. A Monte-Carlo simulation program was used to solve the multi-objective stochastic problem and generate a set of Pareto or near-Pareto solutions with pipe cost ranging between USD9.3 and USD17.4 million and hydraulic robustness ranging between 65.8 and 96.4 per cent. Results indicated a non-linear relationship between pipe cost and robustness typical of many systems and that a large premium must be paid to achieve marginal improvements in robustness beyond a value of 90 per cent. The MCS program was run for 30.6 h to test the hypothetical network against a broad range of demands to ensure a high level of hydraulic robustness. The Pareto curve allows the decision maker the opportunity to quickly assess trade-offs between pipe cost and robustness.
机译:单目标确定性水网络设计中的策略是确定尺寸和位置,以最大程度地降低资金成本,并在最小压力或更高压力下满足未来的峰值需求。从业人员越来越多地转向多目标随机设计,以在最低成本目标和液压性能目标之间取得平衡。本文的目的是回顾单目标确定性和多目标随机网络设计,并讨论与水行业专业人士和从业者相关的优缺点的实际考虑。通过一个复杂的假设网络示例说明了这两种方法之间在数据和计算需求,分析的全面性以及决策灵活性方面的关键差异。使用蒙特卡罗模拟程序解决了多目标随机问题,并生成了一组帕累托或近帕累托解决方案,管道成本在9.3美元至1,740万美元之间,水力稳定性在65.8%至96.4%之间。结果表明,在许多系统中,管道成本与耐用性之间存在非线性关系,必须付出较大的溢价才能使耐用性略微提高到90%以上。 MCS程序运行了30.6小时,以针对各种各样的需求测试假设网络,以确保高水平的水力稳定性。帕累托曲线使决策者有机会快速评估管道成本和坚固性之间的权衡。

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