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首页> 外文期刊>Proceedings of the Institution of Mechanical Engineers, Part O: Journal of Risk and Reliability >Single-objective deterministic versus multi-objective stochastic water network design: practical considerations for the water industry
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Single-objective deterministic versus multi-objective stochastic water network design: practical considerations for the water industry

机译:单目标确定性与多目标随机水网络设计:水行业的实际考虑

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The strategy in single-objective deterministic water network design is to size and locate components to minimize capital cost and meet future peak demands at or above a minimum pressure. Increasingly, practitioners are turning to multi-objective stochastic design to balance the minimum-cost objective with hydraulic performance objectives. The aim of the current paper is to review single-objective deterministic and multi-objective stochastic network design and discuss practical considerations concerning their advantages and disadvantages of relevance to water industry professionals and practitioners. Key differences in data and computational requirements, comprehensiveness of analysis, and decision flexibility between the two approaches are illustrated with a complex, hypothetical network example. A Monte-Carlo simulation program was used to solve the multi-objective stochastic problem and generate a set of Pareto or near-Pareto solutions with pipe cost ranging between 9.3 and17.4 million and hydraulic robustness ranging between 65.8 and 96.4 per cent. Results indicated a non-linear relationship between pipe cost and robustness typical of many systems and that a large premium must be paid to achieve marginal improvements in robustness beyond a value of 90 per cent. The MCS program was run for 30.6 h to test the hypothetical network against a broad range of demands to ensure a high level of hydraulic robustness. The Pareto curve allows the decision maker the opportunity to quickly assess trade-offs between pipe cost and robustness.
机译:单目标确定性水网络设计的策略是确定尺寸和位置,以最大程度地降低资金成本,并满足或低于最小压力的未来峰值需求。从业人员越来越多地转向多目标随机设计,以在最低成本目标和液压性能目标之间取得平衡。本文的目的是回顾单目标确定性和多目标随机网络设计,并讨论与水行业专业人士和从业者相关的优缺点的实际考虑。两种方法之间在数据和计算要求,分析的全面性以及决策灵活性方面的关键差异通过一个复杂的假设网络示例进行了说明。使用了蒙特卡洛模拟程序来解决多目标随机问题,并生成一组帕累托或近帕累托解决方案,管道成本在9.3-17.4百万之间,水力稳健性在65.8-99.6%之间。结果表明,管道成本与许多系统通常具有的坚固性之间存在非线性关系,必须付出较大的溢价才能使坚固性的边际改进超过90%。 MCS程序运行了30.6小时,以针对各种要求测试假设网络,以确保高水平的水力稳定性。帕累托曲线使决策者有机会快速评估管道成本和坚固性之间的权衡。

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