A questionnaire survey of 238 historical museums together with 21 in-depth interviews with museum curators were conducted to predict secular changes in the number of visitors per annum and to develop planning guidelines. A dominant visitor-change pattern was decline, and the average number of visitors per annum after ten years since opening was about 58 percent of the first-to third-year average. A few factors among those explaining increase in visitors were controllable in architectural programming: special exhibition area, building expansion or renovation, exhibition area ratio and transportation.
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