The bias of the unbiased estimator: A study of the iterative application of the BLUE method

摘要

The best linear unbrased estimator (BLUE) is a popular statistical method adopted to combine multiple measurements of the same observable taking into account individual uncertainties and their correlations. The method is unbiased by construction if the true uncertainties and their correlations are known, but it may exhibit a bias if uncertainty estimates are used in place of the true ones, in particular if those estimated uncertainties depend on measured values. This is the case for instance when contributions to the total uncertainty are known as relative uncertainties. In those cases, an iterative application of the BLUE method may reduce the bias of the combined measurement. The impact of the iterative approach compared to the standard BLUE application is studied for a wide range of possible values of uncertainties and their correlation in the case of the combination of two measurements.