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Warming of the Antarctic ice-sheet surface since the 1957 International Geophysical Year

机译:自1957年国际地球物理年以来南极冰盖表面的变暖

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In this Letter, we reported trends on reconstructed temperature histories for different areas of the Antarctic continent. The confidence levels on the trends, as given in the text, did not take into account the reduced degrees of freedom in the time series due to autocorrelation. We report in Table 1 the corrected values, based on a two-tailed f-test, with the number of degrees of freedom adjusted for autocorrelation, using N_(effective) = N(l - r)/( 1 + r), in which Nis the sample size and r is the lag-1 autocorrelation coefficient of the residuals of the detrended time series. The median of r is 0.27, resulting in a reduction in the degrees of freedom from N = 600 to N_(effective) = 345 for the monthly time series.
机译:在这封信中,我们报告了南极大陆不同地区重建温度历史的趋势。如文中给出的那样,趋势的置信度未考虑由于自相关而导致时间序列的自由度降低。我们在表1中报告了基于两尾f检验的校正值,其中使用N_(有效)= N(l-r)/(1 + r)调整了针对自相关的自由度数。其中Nis是样本大小,r是去趋势时间序列的残差的lag-1自相关系数。 r的中位数为0.27,导致每月时间序列的自由度从N = 600降低到N_(有效)= 345。

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