On pseudo maximum likelihood estimation for multivariate time series models with conditional heteroskedasticity

摘要

We consider a general multivariate conditional heteroskedastic model under a conditional distribution that is not necessarily normal. This model contains autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (ARCH) models as a special class. We use the pseudo maximum likelihood estimation method and derive a new estimator of the asymptotic variance matrix for the pseudo maximum likelihood estimator. We also study four special cases in this class, which are conditional heteroskedastic autoregressive moving-average models, regression models with ARCH errors, models with constant conditional correlations, and ARCH in mean models.