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Binge drinking and labor market success: a longitudinal study on young people

机译:酗酒和劳动力市场的成功:对年轻人的纵向研究

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This paper presents a two-equation model of joint outcomes on an individual's decision to binge drink and on his/her annual labor market earnings. The primary data source is the 1979 cohort of the National Longitudinal Survey of Youth (NLSY79), 1979-1994. We show that binge drinking behavior is quite alcohol-price responsive and is a rational addiction. A new result is that an individual's decision to binge drink has a statistically significant negative effect on his/her earnings. Furthermore, we conducted simulations of the short-run and long-run impacts of increasing the alcohol price. They showed that the tendency for an individual to binge drink heavily is reduced significantly, and the reduction is greater in the long-run than short-run simulation. Also, an individual's annual earnings were increased. However, in the structural model, an individual's earnings have no significant effect on his/her tendency to engage in binge drinking. Our results contradict earlier findings from cross-section evidence that showed increased alcohol consumption raised an individual's earnings or wages.
机译:本文针对个人饮酒的决定以及他/她的年度劳动力市场收入,提出了一个联合结果的两方程模型。主要数据来源是1979-1994年全国青年纵向调查(NLSY79)的1979年队列。我们表明,暴饮酒行为对酒精价格反应非常敏感,是一种理性成瘾。一个新的结果是,个人饮酒的决定对他/她的收入具有统计上显着的负面影响。此外,我们对酒精价格上涨的短期和长期影响进行了模拟。他们表明,个人大量饮酒的趋势已大大降低,并且从长远来看,减少幅度大于短期模拟。而且,个人的年收入增加了。但是,在结构模型中,个人的收入对其进行狂饮的倾向没有显着影响。我们的结果与横截面证据显示的饮酒量增加增加了个人的收入或工资的早期发现相矛盾。

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