Landscape management and landscape changes towards more naturalness and wilderness: Effects on scenic qualities—The case of the Mueritz National Park in Germany

摘要

This paper analyses the consequences and effects of management towards more naturalness and wilderness, using the case of the Miiritz National Park as an example. Planned management actions for enhancing naturalness and providing space for wilderness are examined. The scenic qualities of the national park landscape are analysed in terms of the management objectives and with the appropriate tools. For open landscapes, we applied the Delphi survey method to forecast their appearances in 2020 and 2035. A forest growth simulator was used to describe the change in forest tree species composition over the coming decades, and well into the 22nd century. These forecasts are compared with the goals set in the National Park Plan.