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Bayesian Versus Frequentist Hypotheses Testing in Clinical Trials with Dichotomous and Countable Outcomes

机译:贝叶斯与惯常假设在具有二分和可数结果的临床试验中的测试

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摘要

In the problem of hypothesis testing, a question of practical importance is: When do Bayesian and frequentist methodologies suggest similar solutions? Substantial progress has been made for one-sided hypotheses on the parameters of continuous distributions. In this article, we study the problem of testing one-side hypotheses in binomial and Poisson trials, using Bayesian models with conjugate priors. By correctly choosing prior parameters, we can make the posterior probability smaller than, equal to, or larger than the frequentist p-value. The results are illustrated through simulation modeling and analysis of data from clinical trials.View full textDownload full textKey WordsBeta distribution, Gamma distribution, Hypothesis, Posterior distribution, Prior distribution, p-ValueRelated var addthis_config = { ui_cobrand: "Taylor & Francis Online", services_compact: "citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,delicious,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,more", pubid: "ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b" }; Add to shortlist Link Permalink http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10543401003619023
机译:在假设检验问题中,一个实际重要的问题是:贝叶斯方法和常识性方法何时能提出类似的解决方案?关于连续分布参数的单方面假设已取得实质性进展。在本文中,我们研究使用具有共轭先验的贝叶斯模型在二项式和Poisson试验中检验单方面假设的问题。通过正确选择先验参数,我们可以使后验概率小于,等于或大于常人p值。通过仿真建模和对来自临床试验的数据进行分析来说明结果。 services_compact:“ citeulike,netvibes,twitter,technorati,可口,linkedin,facebook,stumbleupon,digg,google,更多”,发布:“ ra-4dff56cd6bb1830b”};添加到候选列表链接永久链接http://dx.doi.org/10.1080/10543401003619023

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