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Economic modeling and inference

机译:经济建模与推理

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Models of dynamic choice under uncertainty now pervade economics, thanks in large part to the availability of dynamic programming tools for their analysis and the training of a generation of economists to use these tools. This book distinguishes itself from most on dynamic programming by covering theoretical and econometric issues jointly. Christensen and Kiefer motivate this approach convincingly. The job of empirical economics is to extract and organize useful information from economic data; they argue that to this end, models of optimizing behavior and statistical methods complement each other. Economic theory adds structure by ruling out choices that are not in the best interest of the decision maker; likelihood-based econometrics uses the model to separate "sufficient" data information from the chaff. Material throughout the book illustrates the benefits of this joint approach.
机译:不确定性下的动态选择模型现在普遍存在于经济学中,这在很大程度上要归功于可以使用动态编程工具进行分析和训练了一代经济学家以使用这些工具。本书同时涵盖了理论问题和计量经济学问题,因此与大多数动态编程有所不同。 Christensen和Kiefer令人信服地激发了这种方法。经验经济学的工作是从经济数据中提取和组织有用的信息。他们认为,为此目的,优化行为的模型和统计方法是相辅相成的。经济理论通过排除不符合决策者最大利益的选择来增加结构。基于似然的计量经济学使用该模型从谷壳中分离“足够”的数据信息。本书中的材料说明了这种联合方法的好处。

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