The Air Force's Predictive Battlespace Awareness: The Siren Song of Ender's Game

摘要

In the early 2000s, the United States Air Force Intelligence Community attempted to adopt and institutionalize a new concept called Predictive Battlespace Awareness (PBA). An alluring concept for senior leaders, PBA would presumably provide predictive, actionable intelligence to combat decisionmakers. The concept was integrated into Air Force publications and intelligence training programs. Leaders across the Air Force were mentored to praise its value. The acquisition community embraced the concept as a key threshold to determine the investment worthiness of future and existing programs.