Unit Maintenance Scheduling: A robust model, based on fuzzy cost factors and peak loads

摘要

As a mid-term planning scheduling, Unit Maintenance Scheduling (UMS) has a significant effect on Generation companies (Gencos) profit. System Operator (SO) is a central entity that provides the Gencos with related maintenance schedule. This schedule would be finalized through repetitive iterations between the SO and different Gencos in the market, to come up with a generally accepted schedule. Bidding strategy, on the other side, does affect the Gencos profit. Being considered as a short-term planning, bidding process is done on the hourly basis to determine the allocated demand to each Genco for each hour of the day. These short-term and mid-term schedules planning received enough attention in the literature, but to consider both simultaneously has not been well studied. In addition, one may not have all the information for the future periods. For production cost factors and load, an estimation can be obtained from the historical data, but that would not be the exact value and there remains an uncertainty on the value of these parameters. This would highlight the importance of developing a robust model that protect the schedule against changes in the values of these parameters, and ensure an acceptable, near optimal solution as well. In this paper, we would model the uncertainties in load and production cost factors, based on a fuzzy framework. The UMS problem is modeled and solved as a dynamic non-cooperative fuzzy game. The results show the effectiveness of the proposed approach. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.