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China's Currency Dilemma

机译:中国的货币困境

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TIE: In China, inflation is soaring. Officials are trying to slow it down, but they're not yet talking about dramatic appreciation of the currency to deal with rising prices. Instead, they will continue to raise interest rates and use other administrative measures to slow down the economy. Can Chinese officials have any hope of controlling inflation without dramatic currency appreciation? Warsh: China's predominant objective over the course of the next couple of years is to ensure domestic tranquility. The Chinese leadership recognizes that inflation can lead to social unrest, and so dealing with inflation risks is a top priority. Foreign exchange rates can be an effective tool to deal with inflation risks, generally more so than ad hoc administrative controls. If Beijing were forced to slow the rate of growth over the course of the next couple of years in order to more effectively deal with inflation risks, then that's a trade-off I suspect they would pursue.
机译:帖:在中国,通货膨胀率正在飙升。官员们正在试图放慢汇率,但是他们还没有在谈论人民币大幅升值以应对不断上涨的价格。相反,他们将继续提高利率并使用其他行政措施来减缓经济增长。如果不大幅升值人民币,中国官员是否有希望控制通货膨胀?沃什:中国未来两年的主要目标是确保国内安宁。中国领导人认识到通货膨胀会导致社会动荡,因此应对通货膨胀风险是当务之急。外汇汇率可能是应对通货膨胀风险的有效工具,通常比临时行政管理更有效。如果北京被迫在未来几年内放慢增长率以更有效地应对通货膨胀风险,那么我怀疑这是他们会追求的一种权衡。

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    《The International Economy》 |2011年第2期|p.10|共1页
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