A revisit to ruin probabilities in the presence of heavy-tailed insurance and financial risks

摘要

Recently, Sun and Wei (2014) studied the finite-time ruin probability under a discrete-time insurance risk model, in which the one-period insurance and financial risks are assumed to be independent and identically distributed copies of a random pair (X, Y). For the heavy-tailed case, under a restriction on the dependence structure of (X, Y), they established an asymptotic formula for the finite-time ruin probability. In this paper we make an effort to remove this restriction as it excludes the cases with asymptotically dependent X and Y. We also extend the study to the infinite-time ruin probability. Employing a multivariate regular variation framework, we simplify the formula so that it shows in a transparent way how the ruin probabilities are affected by the tail dependence of (X, Y). (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved.