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Assessment of the productive efficiency of large wind farms in the United States: An application of two-stage data envelopment analysis

机译:评估美国大型风电场的生产效率:两阶段数据包络分析的应用

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Wind power is one of the most promising renewable energy sources that has gained enormous attention, especially in the electricity generation sector over the past decade in the United States. In this study Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is implemented to quantitatively evaluate the relative efficiencies of the 236 large utility-scale wind farms. Input- and output-oriented CCR (Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes) and BCC (Banker, Charnes, and Cooper) models are applied to pre-determined three input and three output variables. The sensitivity analysis is conducted for the robustness of DEA by introducing seven new models with the various combinations of input and output variables of the original model. Tobit regression models are developed for the second stage of the analysis to investigate the effects of specifications of the wind turbine technologies. DEA results indicate that two-thirds of the wind farms are operated efficiently. On average, 70% of the wind farms have a considerable potential for further improvement in operational productivity by expanding these wind farm projects, 24% of them should reduce their operational size to increase their productivity level, and 6% of them are operating wind power at the most productive scale size. Nonparametric statistical tests show that the most efficient wind farms are located in Oklahoma because of the relatively high wind speed resources. Tobit regression model indicates the selection of the brand of the wind turbine has a significant contribution to the productive efficiency of the wind farms. The results of this study shed some light on the current efficiency assessments of the 236 large utility-scale wind farms in the United States and the future of wind energy for both energy practitioners and policy makers.
机译:风能是最有前途的可再生能源之一,受到了广泛的关注,尤其是在过去的十年中,在美国的发电领域。在本研究中,采用数据包络分析(DEA)来定量评估236个大型公用事业风电场的相对效率。面向输入和输出的CCR(Charnes,Cooper和Rhodes)和BCC(Banker,Charnes和Cooper)模型用于预先确定的三个输入变量和三个输出变量。通过引入七个新模型以及原始模型的输入和输出变量的各种组合,对DEA的鲁棒性进行了敏感性分析。在分析的第二阶段开发了Tobit回归模型,以研究风力涡轮机技术规格的影响。 DEA结果表明,三分之二的风电场都得到了有效运行。平均而言,通过扩大这些风电场项目,有70%的风电场具有进一步提高运营生产力的巨大潜力,其中有24%的风电场应缩小运营规模以提高生产力水平,其中6%的风电场正在运营以最高生产力的规模。非参数统计测试表明,由于风速资源相对较高,最高效的风电场位于俄克拉荷马州。 Tobit回归模型表明,风力涡轮机品牌的选择对风力发电场的生产效率有重大贡献。这项研究的结果为美国236个大型公用事业规模风电场的当前效率评估以及能源从业者和决策者的风能未来提供了一些启示。

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