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A two-stage data envelopment analysis model for efficiency assessments of 39 state's wind power in the United States

机译:美国39个州的风力发电效率评估的两阶段数据包络分析模型

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摘要

The average global surface temperature increased by 0.85 degrees C since 1850 because of irrepressible increase of the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHG). Electricity generation is the primary source of GHG emissions in the United States. Hence, renewable energy sources, which produce a negligible amount of GHG emissions, have gained enormous attention, especially in the electricity generation sector over the past decade. Wind power is the second largest renewable energy source to generate electricity in the United States. Therefore, in this study, a two-stage Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) is developed to quantitatively evaluate the relative efficiencies of the 39 state's wind power performances for the electricity generation. Both input- and output-oriented CCR (Charnes, Cooper, and Rhodes (1978)) and BCC (Banker, Charnes, and Cooper (1984)) models are applied to pre-determined four input and six output variables. The sensitivity analysis is conducted to test the robustness of the DEA models. Tobit regression models are conducted by using the DEA results for the second stage analysis. The DEA results indicate that more than half of the states operate wind power efficiently. Tobit regression indicates that early installed wind power was more expensive and less productive relative the currently installed wind power. Findings of this study shed some light on the current efficiency assessments of the states and the future of wind energy for both energy practitioners and policy makers. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved.
机译:自1850年以来,全球平均表面温度上升了0.85摄氏度,这是因为温室气体(GHG)的浓度不可抑制地增加了。发电是美国温室气体排放的主要来源。因此,可再生能源产生的温室气体排放量可忽略不计,因此受到了极大的关注,特别是在过去的十年中,在发电领域。风能是美国发电的第二大可再生能源。因此,在本研究中,开发了一个两阶段的数据包络分析(DEA)来定量评估39个州的风力发电性能对发电的相对效率。面向输入和面向输出的CCR(Charnes,Cooper和Rhodes(1978))和BCC(Banker,Charnes和Cooper(1984))模型都用于预先确定的四个输入变量和六个输出变量。进行敏感性分析以测试DEA模型的鲁棒性。通过使用DEA结果进行第二阶段分析来进行Tobit回归模型。 DEA结果表明,超过一半的州有效地运营风力发电。 Tobit回归表明,相对于当前安装的风力发电,早期安装的风力发电价格更高且生产效率更低。这项研究的结果为能源从业者和决策者提供了当前状态评估和风能未来的评估。 (C)2017 Elsevier Ltd.保留所有权利。

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