Typhoon, pestilence and tax

摘要

ECONOMISTS STILL argue about the merits of Abenomics, the experimental mix of policies introduced by Japan's prime minister, Abe Shinzo, seven years ago, in an effort to chase away deflation and stagnation. But two lessons are beyond debate. Japan's bond market is remarkably docile despite the government's towering debt. Japanese households, however, are painfully sensitive to increases in the consumption tax, a broad value-added tax imposed on most of their purchases. After the government raised the tax from 8% to 10% on October 1st, the economy shrank at an annual pace of 6.3% in the fourth quarter of 2019, according to figures released on February 17th (see chart on next page).