The Study of Medium- and Short- term Prediction for Artux Earthquake(M_s = 6.9) and Usunan Earthquake (M_s = 5.8)

摘要

In this paper, the process of medium- and short-term prediction(submitted in special cards) of the Artux earthquake (M_s=6.9) and the Usunan earthquake (M_s =5.8) in Xinjiang area, is introduced. The imminent seismic risk regions are judged based on Long-and medium-term seismic risk regions and annual seismic risk regions determined By national seismologic analysis, combined with large seismic situation analysis. We trace And analyze the seismic situation in large areas, and judge principal risk regions or belts Of seismic activity in a year, by integrating the large area's seismicity with geodetic Deformation evolutional characteristics.