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CLIGEN parameter regionalization for mainland China

机译:中国大陆的Cligen参数区域化

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The stochastic weather generator CLIGEN can simulate long-term weather sequences as input to WEPP for erosion predictions. Its use, however, has been somewhat restricted by limited observations at high spatial–temporal resolutions. Long-term daily temperature, daily, and hourly precipitation data from 2405 stations and daily solar radiation from 130 stations distributed across mainland China were collected to develop the most critical set of site-specific parameter values for CLIGEN. Ordinary kriging (OK) and universal kriging (UK) with auxiliary covariables, i.e.,?longitude, latitude, elevation, and the mean annual rainfall, were used to interpolate parameter values into a 10?km×10?km grid, and the interpolation accuracy was evaluated based on the leave-one-out cross-validation. Results showed that UK generally outperformed OK. The root mean square error between UK-interpolated and observed temperature-related parameters was ≤0.88 ? ° C (1.58? ° F). The Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency coefficient for precipitation- and solar-radiation-related parameters was ≥0.87 , except for the skewness coefficient of daily precipitation, which was 0.78. In addition, CLIGEN-simulated daily weather sequences using UK-interpolated and observed parameters showed consistent statistics and frequency distributions. The mean absolute discrepancy between the two sequences for temperature was 0.51 ? ° C, and the mean absolute relative discrepancy for solar radiation, precipitation amount, duration, and maximum 30?min intensity was 5 ?% in terms of the mean and standard deviation. These CLIGEN parameter values at 10?km resolution would meet the minimum data requirements for WEPP application throughout mainland China. The dataset is available at http://clicia.bnu.edu.cn/data/cligen.html (last access: 20?May?2021) and https://doi.org/10.12275/bnu.clicia.CLIGEN.CN.gridinput.001 (Wang et al., 2020).
机译:随机天气发生器CLIGEN可以模拟长期天气序列,作为WEPP的输入进行侵蚀预测。然而,它的使用已经有所限制在高空间 - 时间分辨率下的有限观察。收集了来自2405站的长期每日温度,每日和每小时降水数据,以及分布在中国大陆的130站的80站的日常太阳辐射,为Cligen开发最关键的网站特定参数值集。普通的Kriging(OK)和通用Kriging(英国)与辅助协变量,即经度,纬度,高度和平均年度降雨,用于将参数值插入10个Km×10?KM网格和插值基于休假交叉验证评估准确性。结果表明,英国一般优于正常。英国内插和观察温度相关参数之间的根均方误差≤0.88? °C(1.58Ω°F)。除了每日降水量的偏析系数之外,降水和太阳能辐射相关参数的纳什Sutcliffe效率系数≥0.87,为0.78。此外,使用英国插值和观察参数的Cligen模拟日常气象序列显示出一致的统计和频率分布。温度序列之间的平均绝对差异为<0.51? °C,以及太阳辐射,沉淀量,持续时间和最大30Ω·min强度的平均绝对相对差异在平均值和标准偏差方面是<5μm的。这些Cligen参数值10?KM解决方案将符合中国大陆中国WEPP应用的最低数据要求。数据集可在http://clicia.bnu.edu.cn/data/cligen.html上获得(上次访问:20?5月?2021)和https://doi.org/10.12275/bnu.clicia.cligen.cn .gridinput.001(Wang等人,2020)。

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