Stochastic Approach for Witnessing the Incubation Period of a Patient

摘要

The spread of HIV remains a huge investigation in this present environment. A Mathematical or Statistical model must be developed for estimating parameters related to the epidemic, the death rate of affected cells or the infectious viral production rate. Inability to carry out people evaluates their HIV status has led to widespread lack of correct and comprehensive data on HIV infection, while an individual first involved. Stochastic model measures the predicted point of threshold through discrete and continuous distribution attained by many researchers in last two decades. This paper develops a stochastic model for the time of HIV epidemic in a homosexual population. Expected time of incubation period derived through shock model approach. The fitting of information sets generated through simulation methods that the Alpha statistical distribution ought to be assumed because the epidemic distribution planned the time of stochastic model to search out HIV epidemics. To check the validity of analytical arguments and to explore the dynamics of disease above the epidemic threshold, this study concludes, the possible significance of the result is that transmit HIV in incubation stage is quicker as the intensity of the immune system is lower.