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A Single DEA-based Indicator for Assessing the Multiple Negative Effects of Project Risks

机译:基于单个DEA的指标,用于评估项目风险的多重负面影响

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Risk assessment is an important phase in project risk management. In general, the negative effects of project risk factors can be reflected in multiple aspects, such as cost overruns, schedule delays and poor quality. In this paper, we first explain why data envelopment analysis (DEA) can be used as the tool to rank the negative effects of project risk factors, and then propose how to use DEA to evaluate the negative effects of project risk factors and rank project risk factors by using a single indicator. It could be helpful to identify key risk factors for further risk response. A numeric example is employed to illustrate the proposed method. The results show that our method can be good used to measure the negative effects of project risk factors. It could provide decision making support for project managers in risk response decision.
机译:风险评估是项目风险管理的重要阶段。通常,项目风险因素的负面影响可以反映在多个方面,例如成本超支,进度延迟和质量差。在本文中,我们首先解释为什么可以将数据包络分析(DEA)用作对项目风险因素的负面影响进行排名的工具,然后提出如何使用DEA评估项目风险因素的负面影响并对项目风险进行排名通过使用单个指标来确定因素。识别关键风险因素以进行进一步的风险应对可能会有所帮助。数值例子说明了所提出的方法。结果表明,我们的方法可以很好地用于衡量项目风险因素的负面影响。它可以为项目经理的风险响应决策提供决策支持。

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