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POPULATION OF SOHO/STEREO KREUTZ SUNGRAZERS AND THE ARRIVAL OF COMET C/2011 W3 (LOVEJOY)

机译:SOHO / STEREO KREUTZ防晒霜的人口和COMET C / 2011 W3的到来(LOVEJOY)

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We examine properties of the population of SOHO/STEREO (dwarf) Kreutz sungrazing comets from 2004 to 2013, including the arrival rates, peculiar gaps, and a potential relationship to the spectacular comet C/2011 W3 (Lovejoy). Selection effects, influencing the observed distribution, are largely absent among bright dwarf sungrazers, whose temporal sequence implies the presence of a swarm, with objects brighter at maximum than an apparent magnitude of 3 arriving at a peak rate of ~4.6?yr–1 in late 2010, while those brighter than magnitude 2 arrived at a peak rate of ~4.3?yr–1 in early 2011, both a few times the pre-swarm rate. The entire population of SOHO/STEREO Kreutz sungrazers also peaked about one year before the appearance of C/2011 W3. Orbital data show, however, that a great majority of bright dwarf sungrazers moved in paths similar to that of comet C/1843 D1, deviating 10° or more from the orbit of C/2011 W3 in the angular elements. The evidence from the swarm and the overall elevated arrival rates suggests the existence of a fragmented sizable sungrazer that shortly preceded C/2011 W3 but was independent of it. On the other hand, these findings represent another warning signal that the expected 21st century cluster of spectacular Kreutz comets is on its way to perihelion, to arrive during the coming decades. It is only in this sense that we find a parallel link between C/2011 W3 and the spikes in the population of SOHO/STEREO Kreutz sungrazers.
机译:我们研究了2004年至2013年SOHO / STEREO(侏儒)克罗伊茨(Kreutz)放牧彗星的种群特性,包括到达率,奇异间隙以及与壮观的C / 2011 W3彗星(Lovejoy)的潜在关系。在明亮的侏儒放牧者中基本上没有选择效应影响观察到的分布,它们的时间顺序暗示着一群虫的存在,其中最大亮于表观3的物体的亮度最高达到约4.6%yr-1。 2010年末,而比2级更亮的那些在2011年初达到了约4.3?yr-1的峰值速率,两者都是预热速率的几倍。在C / 2011 W3出现之前大约一年,SOHO / STEREO Kreutz放牧者的总数也达到顶峰。但是,轨道数据显示,大多数亮矮矮sun掠食者以类似于彗星C / 1843 D1的路径运动,在角元素中偏离了C / 2011 W3的轨道10°或更多。来自群和总体到达率提高的证据表明,存在一个零散的大型掠夺者,该掠夺者早于C / 2011 W3,但与之无关。另一方面,这些发现代表了另一个警告信号,即预期的21世纪壮观的克罗伊茨彗星将在未来几十年内到达近日点。只是从这个意义上讲,我们在C / 2011 W3和SOHO / STEREO Kreutz放牧草种群的高峰之间找到了平行的联系。

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