首页> 外文期刊>Frontiers in Psychology >Increasing the Reproducibility of Science through Close Cooperation and Forking Path Analysis
【24h】

Increasing the Reproducibility of Science through Close Cooperation and Forking Path Analysis

机译:通过紧密合作和分叉路径分析提高科学的可重复性

获取原文
获取外文期刊封面目录资料

摘要

Within multiple fields alarming reproducibility problems are now obvious to most: The majority of the reported effects are either false positives or the population effect size is much smaller than expected based on the initial studies (e.g., Ioannidis, 2005; Button et al., 2013; Open Science Collaboration, 2015; Baker, 2016; Nichols et al., 2017). Assuming that neither outright scientific fraud (Fanelli, 2009) nor severe deficits in methodological training are the norm, likely reasons for this inacceptable status quo include the following: (A) a high prevalence of severely underpowered studies (e.g., Button et al., 2013), (B) hypothesizing after results are known (HARKing; Kerr, 1998), (C) intentionally or unintentionally exploiting researcher degrees of freedom (Simmons et al., 2011) in data processing and analysis and thereby pushing the p-value of statistical tests below the conventional significance level without being transparent concerning all the variables and approaches that have been tried out (P-HACKING), and (D) selective reporting of research findings and publication bias. Several options for pre-registration of hypotheses are now readily available providing the opportunity to effectively prevent HARKing (e.g., OSF.io, AsPredicted.org). However, suggestions to address the other three issues have so far met with the following challenges:.
机译:在多个领域中,令人震惊的可再现性问题现在对于大多数人来说是显而易见的:大多数报道的效应都是假阳性或总体效应的大小比根据初步研究的预期要小(例如,Ioannidis,2005; Button等,2013)。 ; Open Science Collaboration,2015; Baker,2016; Nichols等人,2017)。假设既不是完全的科学欺诈(Fanelli,2009)也不是方法学培训中的严重缺陷,那么造成这种不可接受的现状的可能原因包括:(A)严重缺乏能力的研究盛行(例如Button等, 2013),(B)在已知结果之后进行假设(HARKing; Kerr,1998),(C)有意或无意地利用研究人员的自由度(Simmons等,2011)进行数据处理和分析,从而推升p值低于常规显着性水平的统计测试,而对于已经尝试过的所有变量和方法(P-HACKING)以及(D)研究结果和出版物偏倚的选择性报告均不透明。现在已经可以使用几种预先注册假设的选择,这为有效防止HARKing提供了机会(例如OSF.io,AsPredicted.org)。但是,到目前为止,解决其他三个问题的建议面临以下挑战:

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号