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Optimal Investment under Price and Wage Uncertainty

机译:价格和工资不确定性下的最优投资

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The effects of future output price uncertainty and wage uncertainty on a firm’s investment decision are examined in this paper, by assuming the competitively risk-neutral firm maximizes the expected value of the sum of discounted cash flows. We find that the optimal investment behavior is such that the expected proportional growth rate of investment is invariant over time, although there exists a tradeoff between the effects of the two uncertainty on firm’s investment because the shift in output price has positive effects on firm’s investment, whereas the shift in wage has negative impacts on firm’s investment. And what’s more important, fluctuations in output price and wage are correlated so that changes in output price tend to be accompanied by changes in wage.
机译:本文通过假设具有竞争风险的中立企业最大化了折现现金流量总和的预期价值,研究了未来产出价格不确定性和工资不确定性对企业投资决策的影响。我们发现,最优的投资行为使得预期的投资比例增长率随时间变化,尽管这两种不确定性对企业投资的影响之间存在权衡,因为产出价格的变动对企业投资具有积极影响,工资的变动对企业的投资产生负面影响。而且更重要的是,产出价格和工资的波动是相关的,因此产出价格的变化往往伴随着工资的变化。

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