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Estimation and Comparison of Underground Economy in Croatia and European Union Countries: Fuzzy Logic Approach

机译:克罗地亚和欧盟国家地下经济的估计和比较:模糊逻辑方法

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Underground economy (UE) is one of the undesired facts in every country. The size of the underground economy is an important parameter in determining the effectiveness of fiscal and monetary policy, the rate of economic growth, and income distribution. From a scientific point of view analysis of the UE is faced with severe data problems because underground activities are not recorded and anyone engaged in it has an incentive to hide them. Therefore, economists have developed a variety of methods to estimate the size of the underground economy. The aim of this paper is to estimate and compare the size of the Croatian underground economy with the underground economy of European Union (EU) countries in the period of 2004 till 2012.The purpose of this paper is to address this issue in three ways. First, we review existing estimates of the size of the underground economy. Second, we apply a novel calculation method for estimation: fuzzy logic. Third, we calculated and compared underground economy index for 25 European Union countries and compared it, with special focus on Croatian underground economy index. Results indicated that Croatia has the thirteenth largest underground economy among measured members of the European Union. This study is the first of its kind with recent data to measure the size of underground economy in European Union countries by employing fuzzy logic approach.
机译:地下经济(UE)是每个国家不受欢迎的事实之一。地下经济的规模是决定财政和货币政策的有效性,经济增长率和收入分配的重要参数。从科学的角度来看,UE的分析面临着严重的数据问题,因为未记录地下活动,并且从事该活动的任何人都有动机隐藏它们。因此,经济学家开发了各种方法来估算地下经济的规模。本文旨在估计和比较2004年至2012年期间克罗地亚地下经济与欧盟(EU)国家地下经济的规模。本文旨在以三种方式解决这一问题。首先,我们回顾对地下经济规模的现有估计。其次,我们应用一种新颖的估算方法:模糊逻辑。第三,我们计算并比较了25个欧盟国家的地下经济指数,并进行了比较,其中特别着重于克罗地亚的地下经济指数。结果表明,在欧洲联盟中,克罗地亚的地下经济规模排名第十三。这项研究是同类研究中的第一个,其最新数据是采用模糊逻辑方法来测量欧盟国家地下经济的规模。

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