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An Evolution Model of Trading Behavior Based on Peer Effect in Networks

机译:网络中基于对等效应的交易行为演化模型

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This work concerns the modeling of evolvement of trading behavior in stock markets which can cause significant impact on the movements of prices and volatilities. Based on the assumption of the investors' limited rationality, the evolution mechanism of trading behavior is modeled according to peer effect in network, that investors are prone to imitate their neighbors' activity through comprehensive analysis on the neighboring preferred degree, self-psychological preference, and the network topology of the relationship among them. We investigate by mean-field analysis and extensive simulations the evolution of investors' trading behavior in various typical networks under different characteristics of peer effect. Our results indicate that the evolution of investors' behavior is affected by the network structure of stock market and the effect of neighboring preferred degree; the stability of equilibrium states of investors' behavior dynamics is directly related with the concavity and convexity of the peer effect function; connectivity and heterogeneity of the network play an important role in the evolution of the investment behavior in stock market.
机译:这项工作涉及股票交易行为演变的建模,这可能对价格和波动率的波动产生重大影响。基于投资者有限理性的假设,根据网络中的对等效应来模拟交易行为的演化机制,即通过对邻居的偏好程度,自我心理偏好,以及它们之间的关系的网络拓扑。我们通过均值场分析和广泛的模拟来研究在不同的同行效应特征下,各种典型网络中投资者交易行为的演变。研究结果表明,投资者行为的演化受股票市场网络结构和邻近优先度的影响。投资者行为动力学均衡状态的稳定性直接与同伴效应函数的凹凸有关。网络的连通性和异构性在股票市场投资行为的演变中起着重要作用。

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