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An Evolution Model of Trading Behavior Based on Peer Effect in Networks

机译:基于网络对等效应的交易行为演化模型

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摘要

This work concerns the modeling of evolvement of trading behavior in stock markets which can cause significant impact on the movements of prices and volatilities. Based on the assumption of the investors' limited rationality, the evolution mechanism of trading behavior is modeled according to peer effect in network, that investors are prone to imitate their neighbors' activity through comprehensive analysis on the neighboring preferred degree, self-psychological preference, and the network topology of the relationship among them. We investigate by mean-field analysis and extensive simulations the evolution of investors' trading behavior in various typical networks under different characteristics of peer effect. Our results indicate that the evolution of investors' behavior is affected by the network structure of stock market and the effect of neighboring preferred degree; the stability of equilibrium states of investors' behavior dynamics is directly related with the concavity and convexity of the peer effect function; connectivity and heterogeneity of the network play an important role in the evolution of the investment behavior in stock market.
机译:这项工作涉及股票市场中交易行为的演变的建模,这可能对价格和波动的动作产生重大影响。基于投资者的合理性的假设,交易行为的演化机制是根据网络的同行效应进行建模,即投资者通过对邻近的首选学位,自我心理偏好来模仿邻居的活动,以及它们之间关系的网络拓扑。我们通过平均场地分析和广泛的模拟在对等效应的不同特征下各种典型网络中投资者交易行为演变的调查。我们的结果表明,投资者行为的演变受股票市场网络结构的影响和邻近优先学位的影响;投资者行为动态的均衡状态的稳定性与同伴效应函数的凹凸直接相关;网络的连接和异质性在股票市场投资行为的演变中起着重要作用。

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