首页> 外文期刊>Hydrology and Earth System Sciences >Multivariate stochastic bias corrections with optimal transport
【24h】

Multivariate stochastic bias corrections with optimal transport

机译:具有最优运输的多元随机偏差校正

获取原文
获取外文期刊封面目录资料

摘要

Bias correction methods are used to calibrate climate model outputs with respect to observational records. The goal is to ensure that statistical features (such as means and variances) of climate simulations are coherent with observations. In this article, a multivariate stochastic bias correction method is developed based on optimal transport. Bias correction methods are usually defined as transfer functions between random variables. We show that such transfer functions induce a joint probability distribution between the biased random variable and its correction. The optimal transport theory allows us to construct a joint distribution that minimizes an energy spent in bias correction. This extends the classical univariate quantile mapping techniques in the multivariate case. We also propose a definition of non-stationary bias correction as a transfer of the model to the observational world, and we extend our method in this context. Those methodologies are first tested on an idealized chaotic system with three variables. In those controlled experiments, the correlations between variables appear almost perfectly corrected by our method, as opposed to a univariate correction. Our methodology is also tested on daily precipitation and temperatures over 12 locations in southern France. The correction of the inter-variable and inter-site structures of temperatures and precipitation appears in agreement with the multi-dimensional evolution of the model, hence satisfying our suggested definition of non-stationarity.
机译:偏差校正方法用于相对于观测记录校准气候模型输出。目的是确保气候模拟的统计特征(例如均值和方差)与观测值保持一致。本文提出了一种基于最优输运的多元随机偏差校正方法。偏差校正方法通常定义为随机变量之间的传递函数。我们表明,这样的传递函数在有偏的随机变量及其校正之间引起联合概率分布。最优输运理论使我们能够构建一个联合分布,以最大程度地减少在偏差校正中花费的能量。这扩展了多变量情况下的经典单变量分位数映射技术。我们还提出了非平稳偏差校正的定义,作为模型向观测世界的转移,并且我们在这种情况下扩展了我们的方法。首先在具有三个变量的理想混沌系统上测试这些方法。在那些受控实验中,与单变量校正相反,通过我们的方法似乎可以完美地校正变量之间的相关性。我们的方法还通过法国南部12个地区的每日降水和温度测试。温度和降水的变量间和站点间结构的校正与模型的多维演化相一致,因此满足了我们建议的非平稳性定义。

著录项

相似文献

  • 外文文献
  • 中文文献
  • 专利
获取原文

客服邮箱:kefu@zhangqiaokeyan.com

京公网安备:11010802029741号 ICP备案号:京ICP备15016152号-6 六维联合信息科技 (北京) 有限公司©版权所有
  • 客服微信

  • 服务号