Incremental Value of Anemia in Cardiac Surgical Risk Prediction With the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II Model

摘要

Study PopulationStatistical AnalysisResultsOutcomeEuroSCORE II MatchingIncremental Value of Anemia Over the EuroSCORE IIAnemia is a risk factor for adverse events after cardiac operations. We evaluated the incremental value of preoperative anemia over the European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II to predict hospital death after cardiac operations.MethodsData for 4,594 consecutive adults (1,548 women [33.7%]), aged 67 ± 11 years, who underwent cardiac operations from January 2011 to July 2013 were extracted from the Regional Cardiac Surgery Registry of Puglia. The?last preoperative hemoglobin value was used, according to World Health Organization criteria, to classify anemia as mild (hemoglobin 11.0 to 12.9 g/dL in men and 11.0 to 11.9 g/dL in women) in 1,021 patients (22.2%) and as moderate to severe (hemoglobin <11.0 g/dL) in 593 patients (12.9%). The EuroSCORE II was used to evaluate predicted hospital death after operations. Logistic regression analysis for in-hospital death was performed including EuroSCORE II risk factors and anemia, with model discrimination quantified by C statistic and risk classification by the?use of net reclassification improvement (NRI).ResultsOverall expected and observed mortality rates?were 4.4% and 5.9%. Anemia was significantly associated with a mortality rate of 3.4% in patients without anemia, 7.7% in mild anemia, and 15.7% in moderate to severe anemia (p < 0.001) and also at multivariate analysis correcting for EuroSCORE II (p?