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Phase-Type Models in Life Insurance: Fitting and Valuation of Equity-Linked Benefits

机译:人寿保险的阶段类型模型:权益挂钩福利的拟合和评估

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Phase-type (PH) distributions are defined as distributions of lifetimes of finite continuous-time Markov processes. Their traditional applications are in queueing, insurance risk, and reliability, but more recently, also in finance and, though to a lesser extent, to life and health insurance. The advantage is that PH distributions form a dense class and that problems having explicit solutions for exponential distributions typically become computationally tractable under PH assumptions. In the first part of this paper, fitting of PH distributions to human lifetimes is considered. The class of generalized Coxian distributions is given special attention. In part, some new software is developed. In the second part, pricing of life insurance products such as guaranteed minimum death benefit and high-water benefit is treated for the case where the lifetime distribution is approximated by a PH distribution and the underlying asset price process is described by a jump diffusion with PH jumps. The expressions are typically explicit in terms of matrix-exponentials involving two matrices closely related to the Wiener-Hopf factorization, for which recently, a Lévy process version has been developed for a PH horizon. The computational power of the method of the approach is illustrated via a number of numerical examples.
机译:相型(PH)分布定义为有限连续时间马尔可夫过程的寿命分布。它们的传统应用是在排队,保险风险和可靠性方面,但最近在金融领域以及人寿和健康保险领域(虽然程度较小)也是如此。优点是PH分布形成一个密集的类,并且具有明确的指数分布解的问题在PH假设下通常变得易于计算。在本文的第一部分中,考虑了PH分布与人类寿命的拟合。广义的Coxian分布类别特别受关注。在某种程度上,开发了一些新软件。在第二部分中,针对寿险产品的定价(如保证的最低死亡给付和高水给付),在这种情况下,寿命分布通过PH分布进行近似,而基础资产价格过程通过PH的跳跃扩散进行描述。跳。对于涉及与Wiener-Hopf因式分解密切相关的两个矩阵的矩阵指数,这些表达式通常是明确的,为此,最近针对PH范围开发了Lévy处理版本。通过许多数值示例来说明该方法的计算能力。

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