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A Simple Trade Model with an Optimal Exchange Rate Motivated by Discussion of a Renminbi Float

机译:以人民币浮动汇率为动机的具有最优汇率的简单交易模型

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We present a model of combined inter-spatial and inter-temporal trade between countries in which there is a fixed ex-change rate with a surrender requirement for foreign exchange generated by exports. The model incorporates inter- temporal intermediation services, which may or may not be liberlized across countries. We use numerical simulation methods to explore the properties of the model, since it has no closed form solution. In this model, when services re-main unliberalized there is an optimal trade intervention, even in the small open price taking economy case. Given monetary policy and an endogenously determined premium value on foreign exchange, an optimal setting of the ex-change rate can provide the optimal trade intervention. We suggest this model may have loose relevance for the current situation in China where services remain unliberalized and tariff rates are bound in the WTO and a free Renminbi float is under discussion.
机译:我们提出了一个国家之间的跨空间和跨时间贸易组合的模型,在这些模型中,汇率具有固定的汇率,而出口产生的外汇则要求放弃。该模型包含了跨时中介服务,跨国家可能会或可能不会解放。我们使用数值模拟方法来探索模型的属性,因为它没有封闭形式的解决方案。在这种模型中,当服务保持自由化时,即使在采取小幅开放价格的经济情况下,也存在最佳贸易干预。在给定货币政策和内生确定的外汇溢价的情况下,汇率的最佳设置可以提供最佳的贸易干预措施。我们认为,这种模式可能与中国目前的情况有松散的联系,因为中国目前仍未实行服务自由化,而关税税率受世贸组织约束,并且正在讨论人民币自由浮动。

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