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A New Approach to Determine the Critical Path in Stochastic Activity Network

机译:确定随机活动网络关键路径的新方法

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The determination of the critical path (CP) in stochastic networks is difficult. It is partly due to the randomness of path durations and partly due to the probability issue of the selection of the critical path in the network. What we are confronted with is not only the complexity among random variables but also the problem of path dependence of the network. Besides, we found that CP is not necessarily the longest (or shortest) path in the network, which was a conventional assumption in use. The Program Evaluation and Review Technique (PERT) and Critical Path Index (CPI) approaches are not able to deal with this problem efficiently. In this study, we give a new definition on the CP in stochastic network and propose a modified label-correcting tracing algorithm (M-LCTA) to solve it. Based on the numerical results, compared with Monte Carlo simulation (MCS), the proposed approach can accurately determine the CP in stochastic networks.
机译:随机网络中关键路径(CP)的确定很困难。部分原因是路径持续时间的随机性,部分原因是网络中选择关键路径的概率问题。我们面临的不仅是随机变量之间的复杂性,还在于网络的路径依赖性问题。此外,我们发现CP不一定是网络中最长(或最短)的路径,这是使用中的常规假设。程序评估和审查技术(PERT)和关键路径索引(CPI)方法不能有效地解决此问题。在这项研究中,我们对随机网络中的CP给出了新的定义,并提出了一种改进的标签校正跟踪算法(M-LCTA)来解决它。基于数值结果,与蒙特卡罗模拟(MCS)相比,该方法可以准确地确定随机网络中的CP。

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